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As my readers know, I spend a lot of time checking out the Covid-19 numbers from original sources. I do not rely on media reports because they are low on the accuracy scale. They tend to misinform as much as inform.
I was not intending to write substantively about the situation in India, but as I was checking out other numbers, the India statistics jumped out at me – quite by accident.
Like most of you, I was getting my information regarding India from the news media. I was told how the cases were surging dramatically. I saw all the images of a parking lot lit from the fires of dozens of burning funeral biers. There were those heart aching screams of relatives sobbing over the bodies of loved ones outside hospitals.
One could only imagine how many people were sick and dying in a nation of 1.4 billion people. That is four times the population of the United States. And that is when a number jumped out at me. Since the onset of the Pandemic, the United states has had approximately 34 million cases of Covid-19. That is more than any other country in the world – including India. As of this writing, India has had approximately 24 million cases – 10 million FEWER than America (as of May 10, 2021.)
That did not make sense to me – so down the rabbit hole I jumped. In terms of current ACTIVE cases, the United States has 6.4 million. India comes in second with 3.7 million – just about half of the U.S.
So, I checked out the total number of deaths. America has suffered some 596,203 as of May 10th. Indian had 250,025 – again half of the American number. India was actually in third place in total deaths, behind Brazil.
In view of the size of the Indian population, I checked out deaths-per-million. The U.S. is in 18th place with 1,792. India is in 111th place with 182 deaths-per-million.
While India has not been the hardest hit in terms of the population size IN THE PAST, the concern seems to be for the future. India has taken the unfortunate lead in two statistics — the number of new cases and the number of new deaths. There is a surge, for sure.
In terms of new cases, India is experiencing more than 300,000 per day. That is astronomical – especially when compared to America’s 35,000 new cases each day. And India reported 4,200 new deaths on May 10th compared to 743 in the United States.
Currently, India leads the world in the increase in the most serious statistics – new cases and new deaths. Were India to suffer numbers proportionate to the United States, the human loss would be epic. America’s 597,000 deaths relative to the total population is approximately two-tenths of one percent. If India were to reach that percentage, it would mean the loss of 2.8 million souls.
As America puts the Covid-19 in the rearview mirror, it seems India may be on the cusp of the worst of the Pandemic. As one of the most compassionate nations on earth, I hope that we will send more than prayers for the people of India.
So, there ‘tis.